Welcome to the first issue of Punter Steve’s Online Cricket Betting Adventure, a new series exclusive to World Cricket Watch. Nothing makes a one sided match more interesting then a few dollars on most sixes, the next method of dismissal or whether it will be Watson or Katich who get out in the nineties first, and in this, the first article on World Cricket Watch completely devoted to cricket, I will attempt to guide you through the ins and outs of online cricket betting.
My name is Stephen Thomas, a 20 year follower of Cricket and recent amateur punter, and I will be guiding you through the best bets available this summer and I welcome everyone to leave their insights to help us all get ahead of the bookies. So far my record this Australian summer is 3 wins from 4 bets, my only blemish being the draw between the West Indies and Australia at the Adelaide Oval, ouch!
With the test series for the Australian summer almost over, my attention has moved to the KFC big bash and at the time of writing the article there are 3 regular matches left, as well as the preliminary final and the final. The South Australian Redbacks are untouchable on top of the ladder and as such will host the final, the best odds I have seen for the RedBacks taking out the big bash are $A1.75, not a bad price for the home team. However after watching the QLD Bulls destroy NSW last night my money is going to be on the Bulls beating the WA Warriors and than beating SA in the Final. I picked up the Bulls to win the KFC big bash at $A6.50 today, but I don’t think those odds will last much longer.
The next group game is the Victorian Bushrangers vs the Tassie Tigers. Victoria is a very proud state and a dominant force in domestic cricket for the past 3 years and will go into this match hurting from its poor form so far. Plus Victoria must win this game if they are to make the prelim final, and get a shot at all the money in the Indian Champions League. Tasmania on the other hand are used to losing and are out of the finals already, thus wont be able to topple the Bushrangers at home. The Bushrangers are currently heavy favourites paying $A1.55, not great odds for a T20 where anything can happen, but worth a small wager.
The next game, QLD Bulls vs the Western Warriors will decide the final place for the prelim final. The Western Warriors are dangerous when Chris Gayle is playing and fit, however he has a side strain, a very painful and restrictive injury from personal experience. If he plays he won’t be at his best. The QLD Bulls will be my tip for this game, playing at home with Andrew Symonds coming into some form plus a whole stack of solid performing domestic players including Hopes, Rimmington etc. My only concern is Daniel Vettori who will not be playing. He was very tight against NSW and will be a great loss for the Bulls for this match. Thankfully for Bulls fans (and my future bets!) he will be back for the finals. No odds available at the moment for this match, but I would guess that QLD will be a $A1.70 slight favourite.
The final regular round match will be NSW Blues vs the Southern Redbacks. My tip is NSW here. They will be devastated by missing out on the finals and not being able to defend their Champions League trophy and will want redemption against the probable winners. With David Warner in the team NSW, are capable of chasing and posting big totals, plus the return of the frugal Nathan Bracken is a plus, I think NSW will be a good bet here, no odds available yet but you would expect them to be the outsider.
My tips for betting in general are to start slow, only bet what you can afford to lose. If you have a spare hundred then split it up over 4-5 matches, this increases your chance on getting ahead. If you get 5 from 5 you’re well ahead, 4 from 5 you’re still ahead, 3 from 5 you’re about even and 2 from 5 and you still have some money left in the kitty to play with next time. If the odds are really high it’s for a reason, the team has little chance of winning. Favourites win most of the time but not all of the time; the key to getting ahead is betting when you feel the risk of losing is less then the potential rewards.
Good luck punters, I look forward to reading your comments and discussing the future ODI series’ between Australia, Pakistan and the West Indies.
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